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Dec. CPI: How long...will this keep goin' on?
December CPI came in at 0.3% month-over-month, seasonally adjusted, both on the headline (which includes food and energy prices) and core...

CitizenAnalyst
Jan 12, 2024


Nov. CPI: A Step in the Right Direction, or Stuck in the Elevator Down?
November's CPI came in about as expected, with headline prices increasing by 0.1% month-over-month (seasonally adjusted) and core prices...

CitizenAnalyst
Dec 12, 2023


Oct CPI: Last Month We Took An "L" But Today We Bounced Back
October headline CPI came in better than expected: flat month-over-month, with core CPI coming in at +0.2% (both seasonally adjusted). ...

CitizenAnalyst
Nov 14, 2023


August CPI: A Miss, But with a Caveat
August CPI came in slightly hotter than expected, with the Core CPI increasing at 0.28% month-over-month, compared to expectations for...

CitizenAnalyst
Sep 13, 2023


July CPI: Just what we needed
July CPI was a continuation of what we saw in June, where prices across categories increased at rates much more in-line with pre-pandemic...

CitizenAnalyst
Aug 10, 2023


June CPI: If this isn't enough for the Fed, it's not clear what will be
June CPI was the most encouraging CPI report we’ve seen in a long time (at least since Aug. 2021), with both headline and core inflation...

CitizenAnalyst
Jul 13, 2023


May CPI: Further Evidence of Progress with More Likely on the Way
May CPI was similar to April's in that it came in in-line, but the underlying details were more encouraging. May Headline CPI increased...

CitizenAnalyst
Jun 13, 2023


April CPI: Sneaky Good and Enough to Keep a Fed Pause in June on Track
April CPI results yesterday morning were in-line at first glance, but peeling back the layers of the onion, underlying results were much...

CitizenAnalyst
May 11, 2023


March CPI: Back on the Right Track
March headline and core CPI rose 0.1% and 0.4% respectively, month over month, generally in-line with expectations of 0.2% and 0.4%,...

CitizenAnalyst
Apr 12, 2023


Feb. CPI - A Glass Half Full, Half Empty Report
February CPI gave us both positives and negatives to digest, but on balance, this is a modestly better than expected report. Core CPI...

CitizenAnalyst
Mar 14, 2023


January CPI: Three Steps Forward, One Step Back? Or Something Different?
January CPI came in as expected, but under the hood, things looked much worse. Headline CPI (which includes Food & Energy prices)...

CitizenAnalyst
Feb 15, 2023


Labor Market Update Post January Jobs Report: Part 1
Friday’s Jobs report was the latest whiplash in an economy that continues to perplex. Just when datapoints were starting to accumulate...

CitizenAnalyst
Feb 7, 2023


December CPI: Are we already at the Fed's 2% inflation target?
December headline and core CPI came in largely in-line with expectations (-0.1% month-over-month, seasonally adjusted for headline CPI,...

CitizenAnalyst
Jan 13, 2023


Labor Market Update Following November's Jobs Report
This past week’s November jobs report from the BLS caught many by surprise, with the number of new jobs created in November (263,000,...

CitizenAnalyst
Dec 4, 2022


October Surprise CPI: Another Headfake or the Start of a Better Trend?
October CPI finally started showing some of the lower inflation we had been talking about being "in the pipeline" over the last several...

CitizenAnalyst
Nov 11, 2022


September CPI Analysis: Not as Rotten to the Core As You'd Think?
September's CPI report this morning again came in hotter than expected, with the Core CPI increasing 0.6% month-over-month vs....

CitizenAnalyst
Oct 13, 2022


Inflation: Macro Datapoints and Company Commentary for the Week Ending 10/9
Signs of more progress in the supply chain and slowing inflation in intermediate goods and input costs this week, but demand remains...

CitizenAnalyst
Oct 9, 2022


Inflation: Macro Datapoints and Company Commentary for the Week Ending 10/2
This last week's inflation data helps substantiate two trends. First, that goods inflation is slowing faster than services. We're...

CitizenAnalyst
Oct 6, 2022


Inflation: Macro Datapoints and Company Commentary for Week Ending 9/25
Below are both macro datapoints and "micro" commentary from publicly traded companies on inflation over the last week. As long as...

CitizenAnalyst
Sep 26, 2022


The Runway Not Taken: Why Did Powell Change His Mind in August?
Someday down the road, whenever Jay Powell has decided to retire from his role as Chairman of the Fed, I hope someone asks him about the...

CitizenAnalyst
Sep 25, 2022
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